Examiner-produced · Paper 1 · annotated preview

To what extent is the cosmological argument a sufficient explanation for the existence of God?

OCR H573/01, A2 June 2024 · 40 marks · To what extent

Thesis: The argument can explain why contingent reality depends on something non-contingent, but it is not sufficient on its own to identify that ground as the personal God of classical theism.

Revise Observation Arguments first →

Argument map

The reasoning before the prose

01

Claim

Contingency keeps an explanatory question open beyond earlier physical states.

Counter

A total universe or brute fact might terminate explanation without God.

Interim judgement

A necessary ground is plausible only if the principle of sufficient reason is defended.

02

Claim

Aquinas avoids the simplistic claim that everything has a temporal cause.

Counter

Moving from a sustaining cause to one God requires further argument.

Interim judgement

The reasoning has metaphysical reach but limited theological content.

03

Claim

God offers a unified ultimate explanation.

Counter

Calling God necessary can look like a privileged stopping point.

Interim judgement

Sufficiency depends on whether divine necessity is explained rather than asserted.

body

Contingency reaches deeper than a first event

The strongest cosmological reasoning is not the popular question ‘what caused the universe?’ but the contingency argument. Aquinas's Third Way distinguishes beings that can fail to exist from a reality whose existence is not received from another. Leibniz sharpens this through the principle of sufficient reason: even an eternal sequence of contingent states would leave unexplained why that sequence, rather than nothing, exists. Scientific cosmology can describe transitions within the physical order without answering this metaphysical question. This gives the argument genuine explanatory power, because adding earlier contingent causes never changes the dependent character of the whole. However, sufficiency requires more than identifying a gap. Russell can reject the demand for a further explanation and treat the universe as a brute fact; Hume questions whether a collection needs an additional cause once its members are explained. The defender should reply that composition is not the point: the issue is that no member contains the reason for its own existence. Even so, the conclusion is only a non-contingent ground. Intelligence, goodness and personal agency do not follow without design, moral or revelatory premises. The argument is therefore sufficient to motivate a necessary terminus if the principle of sufficient reason is accepted, but insufficient as a complete explanation of the God worshipped by theists.

Examiner commentary

What this exemplar demonstrates

Use the argument map and annotations to identify transferable moves in knowledge, analysis, comparison and judgement.

  • Aquinas's cosmological Ways
  • necessity and contingency
  • Leibniz's principle of sufficient reason
  • the Copleston–Russell debate
  • limits of the conclusion

Transfer it

Moves to practise in your own essay

  • Separate causal beginnings from ontological dependence.
  • Ask what attributes the conclusion actually establishes.